After a wild day one of the tournament, we move on to the updated win expectancies. Before we do that, I wanted to write-up some notes on the games.
- Arlington Baptist showed well as we discussed on the site earlier this week. Grace University was just a little overmatched in this game. Arlington is proving to be under-seeded. The computer got this one right.
- Valley Forge was probably the shock of the tournament. Ozark is a decent team, the computer has them as a mid level team, but Valley Forge was supposed to be very solid. They went ice-cold from the three, and allowed Ozark to dominate the glass. VFCC just got beat. The computer got this wrong.
- Manhattan Christian had a great first half to overwhelm Multnomah. Multnomah was a 2 point favorite in this one, and therefore the computer got this one wrong. Manhattan has been ranked low by the rankings all year-long, and I am curious to see how they fare going forward.
- Florida Christian avenged a loss in the national tournament from last year to Central Bible College. Florida looks athletic and streaky, I don’t know if they can put together enough wins in a row to win the national tournament, but it’s not going to be because they don’t have enough talent. The computer got this one right.
Win Expectancy: If played 100 times, how many times a team won the national title.
(Updated… I made an error! Sorry!)
| Odds | ||
| Arlington Baptist College | 27.42% | |
| Ohio Christian University | 23.64% | |
| North Central University | 16.97% | |
| Northland International University | 11.70% | |
| Ozark Christian College | 11.70% | |
| Florida Christian College | 3.72% | |
| Trinity Baptist College | 2.42% | |
| Manhattan Christian College | 2.42% |
Arlington has now moved up as the favorite to win the national title. That sounds crazy, but they are a solid team with a tough road, but not as tough as some of the other teams in this tournament.
- Ohio Christian is not far behind Arlington. They are the team to beat in this tournament, but potentially playing Florida Christian in the Final Four makes things difficult.
- Florida Christian had a big win over the home team today, but their road is really difficult. The odds of them winning is still pretty slim.
if Both Florida and Ohio get to the final four who ever wins that game might win the Championship.
The problem for Florida is Trinity Baptist. Trinity is a really good team as well.
Florida Christian lost to trinity baptist in regional Final by 1 point. Florida christian has beat trinity baptist in the regular season this year! I believe it can go either way! great game to watch!
Is there a way to go back and watch any of the games I missed yesterday?